Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.028964 0.031732 0.034462 0.037352 0.040319 0.043272 0.046428
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.023004 0.027451 0.031952 0.036822 0.041920 0.047077 0.052669
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.018826 0.024363 0.030100 0.036420 0.043133 0.050006 0.057535
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.015403 0.021680 0.028335 0.035789 0.043806 0.052094 0.061245
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.012841 0.019681 0.027095 0.035522 0.044683 0.054230 0.064836
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.011104 0.018441 0.026555 0.035893 0.046131 0.056866 0.068848
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.008913 0.016497 0.025102 0.035152 0.046279 0.058025 0.071202
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.007387 0.015212 0.024307 0.035063 0.047068 0.059810 0.074161
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005902 0.013847 0.023336 0.034711 0.047511 0.061168 0.076610
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004511 0.012462 0.022265 0.034185 0.047710 0.062218 0.078682
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002919 0.010595 0.020518 0.032816 0.046915 0.062136 0.079488
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002478 0.010330 0.020706 0.033664 0.048583 0.064729 0.083167
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001685 0.009508 0.020292 0.033950 0.049786 0.066998 0.086707
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000746 0.008176 0.019198 0.033443 0.050124 0.068358 0.089316
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000141 0.007014 0.018241 0.033055 0.050565 0.069805 0.091997
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005824 0.017148 0.032444 0.050708 0.070888 0.094245
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004926 0.016378 0.032186 0.051224 0.072356 0.096885
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004419 0.016127 0.032544 0.052435 0.074580 0.100335
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003436 0.015056 0.031828 0.052356 0.075328 0.102130
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002831 0.014506 0.031741 0.052994 0.076865 0.104775
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002178 0.013785 0.031401 0.053309 0.078015 0.106972
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001536 0.012963 0.030893 0.053400 0.078891 0.108845
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000737 0.011571 0.029570 0.052481 0.078593 0.109389